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Coppa Italia

Sept. 2, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Mantova Palermo
Mantova W L W W W L
Palermo W L W D D W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Palermo Mantova 2 - 1 March 4, 2026
Mantova Palermo 1 - 1 January 11, 2026
Palermo Mantova 2 - 2 February 16, 2025
Mantova Palermo 0 - 0 October 30, 2024

Mantova Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Away Lazio 0 - 2 Win
Aug 9, 26 Home Athletic Carpi 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 6, 26 Away Legnago Salus 1 - 3 Win
Jul 30, 26 Home Alcione 6 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Ambrosiana 7 - 0 Win
May 8, 26 Away Frosinone 5 - 0 Loss

Palermo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 17, 26 Home Lecce 2 - 0 Win
Aug 11, 26 Away Juventus 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away Melbourne City 0 - 2 Win
Jul 29, 26 Home Iraklis 1908 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home FC Nurnberg 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Home Paradiso 7 - 0 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.96% likelihood that both Mantova and Palermo will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Mantova or Palermo to win
This prediction indicates that Mantova has a 37.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.09 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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