Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa Saturday 04th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Marcílio Dias Portuguesa

Marcílio Dias W D D L D W

Portuguesa W D W W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	Cascavel	2 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Cascavel	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Away	Independiente FSJ	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 1, 26	Home	Azuriz	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Sao Jose	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Blumenau	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	1 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Home	Portuguesa RJ	2 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Pouso Alegre	1 - 2	Win
May 23, 26	Home	América RJ	4 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Água Santa	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Portuguesa	12	7	4	1	18	7	+11	25
32	Marcílio Dias	11	4	5	2	11	7	+4	17

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Marcílio Dias will score 0 goals, and Portuguesa will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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