Mariehamn vs Lahti Monday 20th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Mariehamn Lahti

Mariehamn L L L L L L

Lahti W D D L L W

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lahti	Mariehamn	1 - 1	May 10, 2026
Lahti	Mariehamn	2 - 1	September 19, 2024
Mariehamn	Lahti	0 - 0	August 18, 2024
Lahti	Mariehamn	3 - 0	May 12, 2024
Mariehamn	Lahti	0 - 0	October 8, 2023
Lahti	Mariehamn	0 - 2	July 23, 2023

Mariehamn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	VPS	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Inter Turku	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Home	HJK helsinki	0 - 4	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Away	AC Oulu	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Gnistan	0 - 3	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	HJK helsinki	1 - 0	Loss

Lahti Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Gnistan	1 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	AC Oulu	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 23, 26	Home	Turku PS	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 17, 26	Away	Gnistan	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	SJK	2 - 3	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Ilves	5 - 0	Win

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Lahti	13	3	4	6	15	15	0	13
12	Mariehamn	13	0	4	9	6	25	-19	4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.52% likelihood that both Mariehamn and Lahti will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Lahti to win

This prediction indicates that Lahti has a 54.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.43 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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