Mariehamn vs SJK Saturday 15th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Mariehamn SJK

Mariehamn D L L L L L

SJK L L L W D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
SJK	Mariehamn	3 - 0	April 10, 2026
SJK	Mariehamn	4 - 1	June 28, 2025
Mariehamn	SJK	1 - 2	April 19, 2025
Mariehamn	SJK	0 - 4	July 21, 2024
SJK	Mariehamn	0 - 2	May 31, 2024
SJK	Mariehamn	2 - 1	March 16, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	AC Oulu	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 20, 26	Home	Lahti	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Gnistan	4 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	VPS	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Inter Turku	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Home	HJK helsinki	0 - 4	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Away	FF Jaro	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	KuPS	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Away	VPS	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Turku PS	3 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Ilves	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 23, 26	Away	Inter Turku	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	SJK	17	3	5	9	19	27	-8	14
12	Mariehamn	17	0	5	12	9	36	-27	5

This prediction indicates that SJK has a 52.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.67 %

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