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Serie C logo

Serie C

July 5, 2026 5 days, 5 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Maringá Volta Redonda
Maringá D D D L D W
Volta Redonda L W W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Maringá Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Inter De Limeira 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Away Caxias 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 15, 26 Home Maranhão 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Botafogo PB 2 - 1 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Santa Cruz 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Away Ypiranga-RS 1 - 4 Win

Volta Redonda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Away Botafogo PB 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Confiança 1 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Away AO Itabaiana 0 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Home Ypiranga-RS 2 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Away Santa Cruz 2 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Ferroviária 0 - 0 Draw

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Maringá 12 4 4 4 22 24 -2 16
14 Volta Redonda 11 4 2 5 7 11 -4 14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Maringá to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Maringá has a 38.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.66 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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