Maringá vs Volta Redonda Sunday 05th July 2026 01:00 AM football predictions.

Maringá Volta Redonda

Maringá D D D L D W

Volta Redonda L W W W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Inter De Limeira	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Caxias	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 15, 26	Home	Maranhão	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Botafogo PB	2 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Santa Cruz	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Ypiranga-RS	1 - 4	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Away	Botafogo PB	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Confiança	1 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	AO Itabaiana	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Ypiranga-RS	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Santa Cruz	2 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Ferroviária	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Maringá	12	4	4	4	22	24	-2	16
14	Volta Redonda	11	4	2	5	7	11	-4	14

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Maringá has a 38.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.66 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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