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Serie C

Sept. 13, 2026 1 week, 2 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Maringá Santa Cruz
Maringá W W D L D W
Santa Cruz D W L D L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Maringá Santa Cruz 1 - 1 May 23, 2026

Maringá Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Paysandu 0 - 1 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home Barra 2 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Confiança 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home Amazonas 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 27, 26 Away Floresta 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 12, 26 Away Anápolis 0 - 1 Win

Santa Cruz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Anápolis 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Caxias 2 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Maranhão 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Botafogo PB 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Figueirense 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away Barra 1 - 2 Win

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Santa Cruz 18 8 4 6 19 14 +5 28
10 Maringá 18 7 6 5 31 30 +1 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Maringá to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Maringá has a 40.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.07 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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