Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan Thursday 09th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Marsaxlokk Pyunik Yerevan

Marsaxlokk L W D L D W

Pyunik Yerevan D W D D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 25	Away	Valletta FC	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 19, 25	Home	Zabbar St. Patrick	1 - 0	Win
Aug 6, 24	Home	Hamrun Spartans	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 24	Home	Partizani	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 24	Away	Partizani	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 6, 24	Away	Jedinstvo Ub	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 23, 26	Away	Aluminij	2 - 2	Draw
Feb 18, 26	Home	Rodina Moskva	2 - 1	Win
Feb 14, 26	Away	Lokomotiv	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 11, 26	Home	Qingdao Youth Island	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 11, 26	Home	Dinamo Samarqand	0 - 3	Loss
Feb 3, 26	Away	Spartak Moscow	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Pyunik Yerevan	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Marsaxlokk	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Pyunik Yerevan has a 36.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.33 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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