Martinique vs Honduras Saturday 03rd October 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

CONCACAF Nations League

Oct. 3, 2026 1 week, 2 days from now VS

Martinique Honduras

Martinique L D W D L D

Honduras L D L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Martinique	Honduras	1 - 1	November 15, 2019
Honduras	Martinique	1 - 0	October 14, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 21, 26	Home	Jamaica	0 - 2	Loss
Oct 16, 24	Home	Guadeloupe	0 - 0	Draw
Oct 11, 24	Away	Guadeloupe	0 - 1	Win
Sep 9, 24	Home	Guyana	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 6, 24	Away	Guatemala	3 - 1	Loss
Mar 24, 24	Away	Suriname	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Argentina	2 - 0	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Away	Peru	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 3, 25	Away	Mexico	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 25	Away	Panama	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 25, 25	Home	Curaçao	2 - 1	Win
Jun 22, 25	Home	El Salvador	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Honduras	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Martinique	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Honduras has a 35.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.70 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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