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FKF Premier League

Aug. 29, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Mathare United APS Bomet
Mathare United W L W L D L
APS Bomet D W W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Mathare United APS Bomet 0 - 2 May 10, 2026
APS Bomet Mathare United 1 - 1 November 9, 2025

Mathare United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Bandari 1 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Ulinzi Stars 2 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Mara Sugar 0 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Home APS Bomet 0 - 2 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Sofapaka 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Nairobi United 1 - 2 Loss

APS Bomet Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Tusker 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Home AFC Leopards 2 - 1 Win
May 20, 26 Away Bandari 0 - 2 Win
May 10, 26 Away Mathare United 0 - 2 Win
May 6, 26 Home KCB 1 - 0 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Sofapaka 1 - 0 Win

FKF Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None APS Bomet None None None None None None None None
None Mathare United None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Mathare United will score 0 goals, and APS Bomet will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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