Mathare United vs Bandari Saturday 30th May 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Mathare United Bandari

Mathare United L W L D L W

Bandari W L D D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bandari	Mathare United	1 - 0	December 21, 2025
Mathare United	Bandari	0 - 0	June 15, 2025
Bandari	Mathare United	2 - 2	December 15, 2024
Bandari	Mathare United	3 - 0	May 10, 2023
Mathare United	Bandari	0 - 1	March 16, 2023
Bandari	Mathare United	3 - 0	September 25, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Ulinzi Stars	2 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Mara Sugar	0 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Home	APS Bomet	0 - 2	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Sofapaka	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Nairobi United	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Bidco United	3 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Tusker	1 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Home	APS Bomet	0 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	KCB	2 - 2	Draw
May 6, 26	Home	Posta Rangers FC	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Ulinzi Stars	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	GOR Mahia	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Bandari	33	9	17	7	26	25	+1	44
15	Mathare United	33	10	8	15	30	35	-5	38

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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