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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

June 20, 2026 1 week, 2 days ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Matonense Mogi Mirim
Matonense W D W L W W
Mogi Mirim W W L W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Mogi Mirim Matonense 1 - 3 May 16, 2026

Matonense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Away Grêmio Catanduvense 0 - 13 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Sao Carlos 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Santacruzense 1 - 2 Win
May 24, 26 Home Independente SP 0 - 2 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Mogi Mirim 1 - 3 Win
May 9, 26 Home Grêmio Catanduvense 3 - 1 Win

Mogi Mirim Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Home Santacruzense 1 - 0 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Grêmio Catanduvense 0 - 6 Win
May 30, 26 Away Independente SP 4 - 1 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Sao Carlos 3 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Home Matonense 1 - 3 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Santacruzense 1 - 0 Loss

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Matonense 9 6 1 2 26 9 +17 19
15 Mogi Mirim 9 4 0 5 14 13 +1 12

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.53% likelihood that both Matonense and Mogi Mirim will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Matonense to win
This prediction indicates that Matonense has a 61.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.30 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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