Paulista Série B
Match Analysis
Matonense
Sao Carlos
Matonense
W
L
W
W
W
W
Sao Carlos
W
L
D
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Carlos | Matonense | 0 - 2 | May 2, 2026 |
Matonense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Away | Santacruzense | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Independente SP | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Mogi Mirim | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Grêmio Catanduvense | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Sao Carlos | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Santacruzense | 2 - 1 | Win |
Sao Carlos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Home | Grêmio Catanduvense | 8 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Mogi Mirim | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Santacruzense | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Independente SP | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Matonense | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Grêmio Catanduvense | 1 - 2 | Win |
Paulista Série B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matonense | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 14 | Sao Carlos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 10 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.87% likelihood that both Matonense and Sao Carlos will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Matonense to win
This prediction indicates that Matonense has a 50.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.14 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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