Maua vs Mauaense Saturday 30th May 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Maua Mauaense

Maua L W D W D W

Mauaense L D W W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Mauaense	Maua	1 - 1	April 25, 2026
Maua	Mauaense	2 - 3	June 21, 2025
Mauaense	Maua	0 - 1	May 17, 2025
Maua	Mauaense	1 - 1	June 8, 2024
Mauaense	Maua	2 - 0	May 4, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Manthiqueira	4 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Barcelona EC	1 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Itaquá Athletico Clube	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Uniao Mogi	2 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Mauaense	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Manthiqueira	3 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Itaquá Athletico Clube	1 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Manthiqueira	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Uniao Mogi	0 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Barcelona EC	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Maua	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Away	Itaquá Athletico Clube	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Maua	6	3	2	1	12	9	+3	11
13	Mauaense	6	2	2	2	6	6	0	8

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.95% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Maua has a 45.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.40 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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