Maua vs Uniao Mogi Sunday 05th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Maua Uniao Mogi

Maua W W L D D L

Uniao Mogi L W W D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Uniao Mogi	Maua	2 - 3	June 27, 2026
Maua	Uniao Mogi	0 - 0	June 6, 2026
Uniao Mogi	Maua	2 - 3	May 3, 2026
Uniao Mogi	Maua	2 - 3	June 14, 2025
Maua	Uniao Mogi	3 - 3	May 10, 2025
Maua	Uniao Mogi	0 - 0	June 22, 2024

Maua Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Uniao Mogi	2 - 3	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Barcelona EC	6 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Itaquá Athletico Clube	5 - 1	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Uniao Mogi	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Mauaense	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Manthiqueira	4 - 2	Loss

Uniao Mogi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Maua	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Itaquá Athletico Clube	2 - 1	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Mauaense	0 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Maua	0 - 0	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Manthiqueira	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Barcelona EC	2 - 3	Win

Paulista Série B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Maua	11	5	4	2	23	17	+6	19
9	Uniao Mogi	11	5	2	4	16	16	0	17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.88% likelihood that both Maua and Uniao Mogi will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Maua to win

This prediction indicates that Maua has a 43.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.07 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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