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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Sept. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Mauritania Central African Republic
Mauritania W D L L D L
Central African Republic L D W L L L
STRENGTH
POSSESSION
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Central African Republic Mauritania 0 - 1 August 9, 2025
Central African Republic Mauritania 2 - 1 June 6, 2025
Central African Republic Mauritania 0 - 1 March 30, 2021
Mauritania Central African Republic 2 - 0 November 19, 2019

Mauritania Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 8, 26 Away Niger 0 - 1 Win
Jun 5, 26 Away Angola 1 - 1 Draw
Mar 27, 26 Away Argentina 2 - 1 Loss
Nov 15, 25 Away Libya 1 - 0 Loss
Nov 12, 25 Away Tunisia 1 - 1 Draw
Oct 14, 25 Away Senegal 4 - 0 Loss

Central African Republic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 9, 26 Away Angola 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 5, 26 Home Togo 1 - 1 Draw
Oct 12, 25 Away Chad 2 - 3 Win
Oct 8, 25 Home Ghana 0 - 5 Loss
Sep 7, 25 Home Comoros 0 - 2 Loss
Sep 4, 25 Away Madagascar 2 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.1% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Mauritania to win
This prediction indicates that Mauritania has a 50.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.61 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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