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Victoria NPL logo

Victoria NPL

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
0 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Melbourne City II Dandenong City
Melbourne City II W W L W L L
Dandenong City W D L L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dandenong City Melbourne City II 2 - 4 February 20, 2026

Melbourne City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Home Dandenong Thunder 2 - 0 Win
May 15, 26 Away Green Gully 1 - 3 Win
May 8, 26 Home Bentleigh Greens 0 - 7 Loss
May 1, 26 Away South Melbourne 1 - 2 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Hume City 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Away Avondale 3 - 1 Loss

Dandenong City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 22, 26 Home St. Albans Saints 2 - 1 Win
May 15, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 1 - 1 Draw
May 8, 26 Away Preston Lions 1 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Altona Magic 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 24, 26 Home Dandenong Thunder 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 17, 26 Home Green Gully 2 - 1 Win

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Melbourne City II 14 5 5 4 22 23 -1 20
11 Dandenong City 14 4 4 6 16 20 -4 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.4% likelihood that both Melbourne City II and Dandenong City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Melbourne City II or Dandenong City to win
This prediction indicates that Melbourne City II has a 38.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.02 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 75.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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