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Victoria NPL

July 12, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Melbourne City II Heidelberg United
Melbourne City II W L L W W L
Heidelberg United L L L W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Heidelberg United Melbourne City II 1 - 1 March 27, 2026

Melbourne City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Away St. Albans Saints 0 - 2 Win
Jun 19, 26 Away Oakleigh Cannons 3 - 1 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Dandenong City 0 - 1 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Dandenong Thunder 2 - 0 Win
May 15, 26 Away Green Gully 1 - 3 Win
May 8, 26 Home Bentleigh Greens 0 - 7 Loss

Heidelberg United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Home Preston Lions 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 5, 26 Away Dandenong City 4 - 1 Loss
May 29, 26 Home Dandenong Thunder 4 - 2 Win
May 22, 26 Away Green Gully 0 - 1 Win
May 15, 26 Away Bentleigh Greens 2 - 2 Draw

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Heidelberg United 18 9 3 6 30 23 +7 30
9 Melbourne City II 17 6 5 6 25 27 -2 23

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.63% likelihood that both Melbourne City II and Heidelberg United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Heidelberg United to win
This prediction indicates that Heidelberg United has a 43.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.53 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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