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Primera C

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Mercedes Victoriano Arenas
Mercedes W L D D W L
Victoriano Arenas L D W D W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Victoriano Arenas Mercedes 1 - 0 March 14, 2026
Victoriano Arenas Mercedes 2 - 1 November 24, 2024
Mercedes Victoriano Arenas 1 - 0 June 22, 2024

Mercedes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home JJ Urquiza 5 - 0 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Lugano 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Deportivo Paraguayo 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Puerto Nuevo 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Leandro N. Alem 2 - 0 Win
May 18, 26 Away Deportivo Español 1 - 0 Loss

Victoriano Arenas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Away Puerto Nuevo 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Leandro N. Alem 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 7, 26 Home Defensores de Cambaceres 1 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Juventud Unida 1 - 1 Draw
May 25, 26 Home Sacachispas 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Home Canuelas 2 - 2 Draw

Primera C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Victoriano Arenas 16 6 7 3 15 9 +6 25
13 Mercedes 17 5 7 5 15 10 +5 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Mercedes will score 0 goals, and Victoriano Arenas will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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