Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United Tuesday 18th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Merthyr Town AFC Telford United

Merthyr Town L W L L D W

AFC Telford United L W L L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Merthyr Town	AFC Telford United	1 - 4	January 27, 2026
AFC Telford United	Merthyr Town	2 - 4	November 4, 2025

Merthyr Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Worcester City	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 28, 26	Home	Swansea	3 - 0	Win
Jul 21, 26	Away	Briton Ferry	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Forest Green	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Yeovil Town	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Home	Cambrian & Clydach	4 - 2	Win

AFC Telford United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Tamworth	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Walsall	1 - 0	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Crewe	0 - 3	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Southport	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Darlington 1883	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	Peterborough Sports	2 - 3	Win

National League - North Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	AFC Telford United	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Merthyr Town	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.53% likelihood that both Merthyr Town and AFC Telford United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Merthyr Town or AFC Telford United to win

This prediction indicates that Merthyr Town has a 40.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.26 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed