Meshakhte vs Gagra Thursday 18th June 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

Meshakhte Gagra

Meshakhte L L L L L L

Gagra W W W L D L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gagra	Meshakhte	1 - 1	April 27, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Away	Rustavi	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Dinamo Tbilisi	1 - 6	Loss
May 25, 26	Away	Spaeri	2 - 1	Loss
May 20, 26	Home	Torpedo Kutaisi	1 - 4	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Dinamo Batumi	2 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Dila	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Dinamo Tbilisi	2 - 1	Win
May 28, 26	Away	Torpedo Kutaisi	1 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Dila	2 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Saburtalo	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Rustavi	1 - 1	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	Spaeri	3 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Gagra	17	5	5	7	17	23	-6	20
10	Meshakhte	17	1	7	9	11	31	-20	10

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Gagra has a 47.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.78 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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