Premier League
Match Analysis
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
L
L
W
L
L
L
Shakhtar Donetsk
W
L
D
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Shakhtar Donetsk has dominated Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in their meetings, often making it tough for the opposition to score. The model predicts an away win with a 51% probability, reflecting Shakhtar Donetsk's clear quality gap and stronger recent form. Additionally, the model sees a 53% chance that both teams will score and a 54% chance that more than 1.5 goals will be scored, suggesting an open match despite recent tight contests. The market odds aren't provided for direct comparison, but the model's probabilities indicate a notable confidence in Shakhtar Donetsk's edge.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 1 - 0 | March 15, 2026 |
| Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 - 1 | September 13, 2025 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 2 - 0 | December 3, 2023 |
| Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2023 |
| Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 - 7 | March 5, 2023 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 0 - 0 | August 23, 2022 |
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Polessya | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Livyi Bereh | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Veres Rivne | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | FC Schalke 04 | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Fagiano Okayama | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | FK Jablonec | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Shakhtar Donetsk Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Kudrivka | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Bursaspor | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Al Ula | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | HNK Gorica | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | NK Slaven Belupo | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Shakhtar Donetsk to win
This prediction indicates that Shakhtar Donetsk has a 50.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.96 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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