Mexico vs Chile Tuesday 06th October 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Friendlies

Oct. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Mexico Chile

Mexico L W W W W W

Chile W L W W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Mexico	Chile	2 - 2	December 9, 2021
Mexico	Chile	3 - 1	March 23, 2019
Mexico	Chile	0 - 1	October 17, 2018
Mexico	Chile	0 - 7	June 19, 2016
Chile	Mexico	3 - 3	June 15, 2015

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 6, 26	Home	England	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Home	Ecuador	2 - 0	Win
Jun 25, 26	Away	Czech Republic	0 - 3	Win
Jun 19, 26	Home	South Korea	1 - 0	Win
Jun 11, 26	Home	South Africa	2 - 0	Win
Jun 5, 26	Home	Serbia	5 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Away	Congo DR	1 - 2	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Portugal	2 - 1	Loss
Nov 18, 25	Home	Peru	2 - 1	Win
Nov 15, 25	Away	Russia	0 - 2	Win
Oct 10, 25	Home	Peru	2 - 1	Win
Feb 8, 25	Home	Panama	6 - 1	Win

This prediction indicates that Mexico has a 46.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.39 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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