Mexico vs Serbia Friday 05th June 2026 05:00 AM football predictions.

Mexico Serbia

Mexico W W D D W W

Serbia L L L W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Australia	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Ghana	2 - 0	Win
Apr 1, 26	Home	Belgium	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 29, 26	Home	Portugal	0 - 0	Draw
Feb 26, 26	Home	Iceland	4 - 0	Win
Jan 25, 26	Away	Bolivia	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Away	Cape Verde Islands	3 - 0	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Away	Saudi Arabia	2 - 1	Loss
Mar 27, 26	Away	Spain	3 - 0	Loss
Nov 16, 25	Home	Latvia	2 - 1	Win
Nov 13, 25	Away	England	2 - 0	Loss
Oct 14, 25	Away	Andorra	1 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Mexico	7	5	2	0	10	1	+9	17
361	Serbia	3	0	0	3	1	8	-7	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Mexico has a 58.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.09 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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