Miami FC vs Orange County SC Thursday 25th June 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Miami FC Orange County SC

Miami FC D L W L D W

Orange County SC W D W D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Orange County SC	Miami FC	2 - 2	March 24, 2024
Miami FC	Orange County SC	0 - 0	May 27, 2023
Orange County SC	Miami FC	0 - 0	July 17, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Louisville City	4 - 3	Win
May 21, 26	Away	Detroit City	2 - 1	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Brooklyn	3 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	Las Vegas Lights	2 - 3	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	New Mexico United	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Oakland Roots	3 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Colorado Springs	2 - 2	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Sacramento Republic	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Lexington	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Orange County SC	13	6	5	2	18	13	+5	23
14	Miami FC	13	4	5	4	15	19	-4	17

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Orange County SC has a 39.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.15 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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