Middlesbrough vs Lincoln Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Middlesbrough Lincoln

Middlesbrough L D L D D D

Lincoln L L W L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Huddersfield	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Celtic	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Hull City	1 - 0	Loss
May 12, 26	Away	Southampton	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Southampton	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Wrexham	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Away	Grimsby	5 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Leyton Orient	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Boston United	0 - 1	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Lincoln United	2 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Port Vale	0 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Wycombe	4 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Lincoln	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Middlesbrough	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Middlesbrough has a 47.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.61 %

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