Championship
Match Analysis
Middlesbrough
Wolves
Middlesbrough
D
D
W
L
W
D
Wolves
W
L
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Middlesbrough and Wolves are in moderate recent form, but Middlesbrough has a history of dominating their past meetings, often with plenty of goals. The model predicts a home win with a 45% probability, which is slightly more confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of both teams scoring (53%) and for the match to feature more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals (58% and 60%, respectively), aligning closely with the market's view on these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | Wolves | 1 - 2 | March 30, 2018 |
| Wolves | Middlesbrough | 1 - 0 | August 5, 2017 |
| Middlesbrough | Wolves | 2 - 1 | March 4, 2016 |
| Wolves | Middlesbrough | 1 - 3 | October 24, 2015 |
| Middlesbrough | Wolves | 3 - 0 | September 22, 2015 |
| Middlesbrough | Wolves | 2 - 1 | April 14, 2015 |
Middlesbrough Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Birmingham | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Millwall | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Norwich | 4 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 8, 26 | Away | Crystal Palace | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | QPR | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 2, 26 | Away | Burnley | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Wolves Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | West Brom | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | Everton | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Birmingham | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 1, 26 | Away | West Ham | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Stoke City | 4 - 1 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 14 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.21% likelihood that both Middlesbrough and Wolves will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Middlesbrough to win
This prediction indicates that Middlesbrough has a 44.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.57 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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