Middlesbrough vs Wrexham Friday 07th August 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Middlesbrough Wrexham

Middlesbrough D L D D D W

Wrexham W D D L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Wrexham	Middlesbrough	2 - 2	May 2, 2026
Middlesbrough	Wrexham	1 - 1	October 25, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Celtic	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Hull City	1 - 0	Loss
May 12, 26	Away	Southampton	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Southampton	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Wrexham	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Watford	5 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Manchester United	0 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Wisla Krakow	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Middlesbrough	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Coventry	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Away	Oxford United	0 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Stoke City	2 - 0	Win

This prediction indicates that Middlesbrough has a 53.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.44 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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