Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Midland
Patronato
Midland
W
D
D
L
L
W
Patronato
D
L
D
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patronato | Midland | 1 - 1 | June 21, 2026 |
Midland Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Quilmes | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Patronato | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Atlanta | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Home | San Martin Tucuman | 2 - 0 | Win |
Patronato Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | San Martin Tucuman | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Midland | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Atletico DE Rafaela | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Agropecuario | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Tristan Suarez | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Midland | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 30 |
| 28 | Patronato | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 22 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.7% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Midland to win
This prediction indicates that Midland has a 46.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.28 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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