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Primera Nacional

July 12, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Midland Quilmes
Midland D L L W L W
Quilmes L W D W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Quilmes Midland 0 - 0 February 21, 2026

Midland Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Away Patronato 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Home Atlanta 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 0 Loss
May 31, 26 Home San Martin Tucuman 2 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Agropecuario 2 - 0 Win

Quilmes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Away Colegiales 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 0 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away San Martin Tucuman 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Atletico DE Rafaela 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Agropecuario 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Tristan Suarez 0 - 1 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Midland 18 7 5 6 19 14 +5 26
22 Quilmes 18 5 6 7 16 14 +2 21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.0% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Midland to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Midland has a 39.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 37.99 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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