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Primera Nacional

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Midland San Martin Tucuman
Midland L W W W L W
San Martin Tucuman L L W D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Midland Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Away Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Agropecuario 2 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Tristan Suarez 1 - 3 Win
May 3, 26 Home Club Atlético Güemes 2 - 1 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away Chacarita Juniors 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 23, 26 Away Deportivo Moron 1 - 2 Win

San Martin Tucuman Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Home Atlanta 0 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 0 Loss
May 13, 26 Home Gimnasia Jujuy 2 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Banfield 1 - 1 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Atletico DE Rafaela 2 - 1 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away Agropecuario 2 - 0 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Midland 14 6 4 4 15 10 +5 22
13 San Martin Tucuman 14 5 6 3 14 10 +4 21

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Midland to win
This prediction indicates that Midland has a 49.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.89 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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