Copa Colombia
Match Analysis
Millonarios
Barranquilla
Millonarios
W
W
D
D
L
D
Barranquilla
D
D
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts that Millonarios will win with a 58% probability. This prediction is influenced by the clear quality gap favoring Millonarios and their moderate recent form compared to Barranquilla's poor form. Although Barranquilla have a rest advantage, the model suggests this is not enough to overcome the disparity in team quality. The model also leans toward "under" for both goal lines and both teams to score, indicating a lower-scoring game is expected.
Millonarios Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Chico | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 14, 26 | Away | Cucuta | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cali | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Deportivo Pereira | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 3, 26 | Away | Santa Fe | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | La Equidad | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Barranquilla Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Junior | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Junior | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 15, 25 | Home | Alianza Petrolera | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 25 | Away | Envigado | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 4, 25 | Home | Orsomarso | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 31, 25 | Away | Rionegro Aguilas | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Millonarios to win
This prediction indicates that Millonarios has a 57.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.25 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments