Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto Wednesday 05th August 2026 04:20 AM football predictions.

Millonarios Deportivo Pasto

Millonarios L L W L D D

Deportivo Pasto L L L L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportivo Pasto	Millonarios	2 - 1	January 29, 2026
Millonarios	Deportivo Pasto	1 - 0	September 11, 2025
Deportivo Pasto	Millonarios	0 - 1	February 1, 2025
Deportivo Pasto	Millonarios	0 - 0	December 9, 2024
Millonarios	Deportivo Pasto	2 - 1	November 20, 2024
Millonarios	Deportivo Pasto	1 - 0	November 4, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Colo Colo	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Universitario	2 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Depor FC	1 - 8	Win
May 26, 26	Home	O'Higgins	1 - 2	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Chico	2 - 2	Draw
May 20, 26	Away	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 13, 26	Home	Deportes Tolima	0 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Deportes Tolima	1 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Junior	4 - 3	Loss
Apr 23, 26	Home	Santa Fe	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Away	Jaguares	2 - 3	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Deportes Tolima	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Deportivo Pasto	21	10	4	7	29	28	+1	34
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	+8	26

This prediction indicates that Millonarios has a 59.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.08 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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