Mirassol vs Flamengo Monday 17th August 2026 12:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Mirassol Flamengo

Mirassol W D W L L W

Flamengo D D W W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Mirassol	Flamengo	3 - 3	December 6, 2025
Flamengo	Mirassol	2 - 1	August 9, 2025

Mirassol Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	remo	2 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 17, 26	Home	Gremio	2 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 0	Loss
May 26, 26	Away	Lanus	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Fluminense	1 - 0	Win

Flamengo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Away	Internacional	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Home	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 23, 26	Away	Chapecoense-sc	0 - 4	Win
Jul 17, 26	Home	Olimpia	4 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Benfica	1 - 2	Win
Jul 8, 26	Away	Lausanne	2 - 0	Loss

Serie A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Flamengo	20	11	6	3	37	18	+19	39
14	Mirassol	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4	23

Predictions

Flamengo to win

This prediction indicates that Flamengo has a 47.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.21 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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