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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 21, 2026
1 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Mixto Gama
Mixto D D D W L D
Gama D W W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Mixto Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Ceilândia 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Away União Rondonópolis 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Home CEOV Operário 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Goiatuba EC 2 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Capital Brasilia 1 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Capital Brasilia 1 - 1 Draw

Gama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Aparecidense 2 - 2 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Inhumas 0 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Home Primavera MG 4 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Home Brasiliense 3 - 2 Win
May 9, 26 Away Luverdense 1 - 2 Win
May 2, 26 Home Luverdense 4 - 0 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Gama 10 8 2 0 23 6 +17 26
60 Mixto 10 2 6 2 10 9 +1 12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Gama to win
This prediction indicates that Gama has a 47.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.21 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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