ML Vitebsk vs Baranovichi Saturday 15th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

ML Vitebsk Baranovichi

ML Vitebsk W W L L W W

Baranovichi W D D L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Baranovichi	ML Vitebsk	0 - 4	April 11, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	Sutjeska	1 - 2	Win
Jul 23, 26	Home	Sutjeska	3 - 0	Win
Jul 15, 26	Away	CS Universitatea Craiova	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	CS Universitatea Craiova	1 - 4	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Away	Slavia Mozyr	2 - 4	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Naftan	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Torpedo Zhodino	1 - 0	Win
Jul 5, 26	Away	Belshina	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 26, 26	Home	Slavia Mozyr	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 19, 26	Away	Naftan	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	FC Minsk	2 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	FC Vitebsk	2 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	ML Vitebsk	14	9	4	1	30	13	+17	31
11	Baranovichi	15	4	4	7	15	26	-11	16

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.49% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that ML Vitebsk has a 68.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.79 %

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