Premier League
Match Analysis
ML Vitebsk
Baranovichi
ML Vitebsk
W
L
W
W
L
L
Baranovichi
D
L
W
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model sees a clear quality gap favoring ML Vitebsk, which is the main reason for its strong inclination toward a home win. Additionally, ML Vitebsk's recent attacking form and Baranovichi's defensive struggles support this view. The model predicts a home win with a 73% probability, which is notably confident given the available context. While Baranovichi have a rest advantage, the overall factors point strongly toward ML Vitebsk's favor.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baranovichi | ML Vitebsk | 0 - 4 | April 11, 2026 |
ML Vitebsk Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Borac Banja Luka | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | Borac Banja Luka | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Sutjeska | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Sutjeska | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 - 4 | Loss |
Baranovichi Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Bate Borisov | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 3 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Torpedo Zhodino | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Belshina | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Slavia Mozyr | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 19, 26 | Away | Naftan | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | ML Vitebsk | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 13 | +17 | 31 |
| 12 | Baranovichi | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 17 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.6% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
ML Vitebsk to win
This prediction indicates that ML Vitebsk has a 73.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.70 %Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments