Premier League
Match Analysis
ML Vitebsk
Bate Borisov
ML Vitebsk
W
W
L
W
W
L
Bate Borisov
W
D
L
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, ML Vitebsk has dominated Bate Borisov in their meetings. The model predicts a home win with a 66% probability, reflecting ML Vitebsk's clear quality gap and strong recent form, despite Bate Borisov's rest advantage. The model also leans toward an over 1.5 goals outcome and over 2.5 goals, suggesting a more open game than the market expects, as the market odds show less confidence in a high-scoring match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bate Borisov | ML Vitebsk | 1 - 2 | April 19, 2026 |
| ML Vitebsk | Bate Borisov | 2 - 0 | January 17, 2026 |
| Bate Borisov | ML Vitebsk | 1 - 0 | October 3, 2025 |
| ML Vitebsk | Bate Borisov | 2 - 1 | May 18, 2025 |
ML Vitebsk Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Baranovichi | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Borac Banja Luka | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | Borac Banja Luka | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Sutjeska | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Sutjeska | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Bate Borisov Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | FC Vitebsk | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Baranovichi | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | FC Sion | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | FC Sion | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | AF Elbasani | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 7, 26 | Away | AF Elbasani | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ML Vitebsk | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 13 | +19 | 34 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 13 |
Predictions
ML Vitebsk to win
This prediction indicates that ML Vitebsk has a 65.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.45 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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