ML Vitebsk vs Naftan Saturday 27th June 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

ML Vitebsk Naftan

ML Vitebsk D L W D W W

Naftan W L L L L D

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
ML Vitebsk	Naftan	2 - 0	August 22, 2025
Naftan	ML Vitebsk	0 - 3	April 12, 2025
Naftan	ML Vitebsk	1 - 2	February 11, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	FC Minsk	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	FC Vitebsk	1 - 2	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Neman	1 - 2	Win
May 22, 26	Home	FC Gomel	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Arsenal	0 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Home	FC Dnepr Mogilev	5 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 19, 26	Home	Baranovichi	1 - 0	Win
Jun 12, 26	Away	FC Isloch Minsk R.	3 - 1	Loss
May 29, 26	Home	Torpedo Zhodino	0 - 4	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Belshina	5 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Slavia Mozyr	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Bate Borisov	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	ML Vitebsk	12	7	4	1	24	10	+14	25
16	Naftan	12	1	3	8	7	25	-18	6

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.25% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that ML Vitebsk has a 70.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.09 %

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