Mladost Petrinja vs Graničar Đurđevac Saturday 01st August 2026 07:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Mladost Petrinja Graničar Đurđevac

Mladost Petrinja L D

Graničar Đurđevac L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model sees this as a relatively even matchup—the two sides are closely matched in quality—but gives a slight edge to Mladost Petrinja, who benefit from better rest heading into the game. Despite both teams showing poor recent form, the model expects goals to flow, partly because Graničar Đurđevac have been vulnerable defensively; this leans the prediction toward both teams scoring and the match going over 2.5 goals.

Mladost Petrinja Form (Last 2 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 17, 21	Home	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2 - 3	Loss
Aug 1, 20	Home	Bjelovar	2 - 2	Draw

Graničar Đurđevac Form (Last 2 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Bjelovar	0 - 2	Loss
Jan 28, 26	Away	Bjelovar	6 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.95% likelihood that both Mladost Petrinja and Graničar Đurđevac will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Mladost Petrinja to win

This prediction indicates that Mladost Petrinja has a 48.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.89 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 74.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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