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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

June 13, 2026 2 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Mogi Mirim Santacruzense
Mogi Mirim W L W L L W
Santacruzense W L W D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Santacruzense Mogi Mirim 1 - 0 May 10, 2026

Mogi Mirim Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Away Grêmio Catanduvense 0 - 6 Win
May 30, 26 Away Independente SP 4 - 1 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Sao Carlos 3 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Home Matonense 1 - 3 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Santacruzense 1 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Grêmio Catanduvense 2 - 1 Win

Santacruzense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Away Independente SP 0 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Home Matonense 1 - 2 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Grêmio Catanduvense 1 - 5 Win
May 16, 26 Away Sao Carlos 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Mogi Mirim 1 - 0 Win
May 3, 26 Home Independente SP 2 - 5 Loss

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Santacruzense 8 4 1 3 18 11 +7 13
16 Mogi Mirim 8 3 0 5 13 13 0 9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.78% likelihood that both Mogi Mirim and Santacruzense will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Santacruzense to win
This prediction indicates that Santacruzense has a 52.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.82 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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