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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 21, 2026
3 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Monte Roraima Guaporé
Monte Roraima L L D W W D
Guaporé D W W D W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Monte Roraima Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Away Nacional AM 3 - 1 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Manauara 0 - 1 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Sao Raimundo 2 - 2 Draw
May 16, 26 Away GAS 2 - 3 Win
May 9, 26 Away Manaus FC 0 - 2 Win
May 3, 26 Home Manaus FC 2 - 2 Draw

Guaporé Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Away Independência 2 - 2 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Araguaína 3 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Away Humaitá 0 - 4 Win
May 17, 26 Away Porto Velho 0 - 0 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Galvez 1 - 0 Win
May 3, 26 Away Galvez 3 - 3 Draw

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Guaporé 10 6 4 0 19 9 +10 22
74 Monte Roraima 10 2 4 4 11 14 -3 10

Predictions

Guaporé to win
This prediction indicates that Guaporé has a 50.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.50 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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