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USL Championship

June 21, 2026 1 week, 2 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Monterey Bay El Paso Locomotive
Monterey Bay L W W W L L
El Paso Locomotive D D L L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Monterey Bay El Paso Locomotive 0 - 3 March 15, 2026
El Paso Locomotive Monterey Bay 2 - 2 August 17, 2025
Monterey Bay El Paso Locomotive 1 - 2 June 22, 2025
Monterey Bay El Paso Locomotive 0 - 0 August 25, 2024
El Paso Locomotive Monterey Bay 1 - 1 March 14, 2024
El Paso Locomotive Monterey Bay 1 - 2 September 3, 2023

Monterey Bay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 18, 26 Away FC Tulsa 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 11, 26 Home Sporting JAX 2 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Home Loudoun United 4 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Home Birmingham Legion 2 - 0 Win
May 8, 26 Away Lexington 3 - 1 Loss
May 3, 26 Home FC Tulsa 1 - 2 Loss

El Paso Locomotive Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Home Phoenix Rising 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 10, 26 Away Detroit City 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Lexington 1 - 4 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Oakland Roots 2 - 1 Loss
May 7, 26 Away New Mexico United 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 30, 26 Home FC Tulsa 1 - 4 Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
15 El Paso Locomotive 12 4 4 4 23 22 +1 16
22 Monterey Bay 13 3 2 8 13 22 -9 11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.86% likelihood that both Monterey Bay and El Paso Locomotive will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
El Paso Locomotive to win
This prediction indicates that El Paso Locomotive has a 44.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.41 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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