Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive Sunday 21st June 2026 05:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Monterey Bay El Paso Locomotive

Monterey Bay L W W W L L

El Paso Locomotive D D L L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Monterey Bay	El Paso Locomotive	0 - 3	March 15, 2026
El Paso Locomotive	Monterey Bay	2 - 2	August 17, 2025
Monterey Bay	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 2	June 22, 2025
Monterey Bay	El Paso Locomotive	0 - 0	August 25, 2024
El Paso Locomotive	Monterey Bay	1 - 1	March 14, 2024
El Paso Locomotive	Monterey Bay	1 - 2	September 3, 2023

Monterey Bay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 18, 26	Away	FC Tulsa	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 11, 26	Home	Sporting JAX	2 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Loudoun United	4 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Birmingham Legion	2 - 0	Win
May 8, 26	Away	Lexington	3 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	FC Tulsa	1 - 2	Loss

El Paso Locomotive Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Phoenix Rising	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 10, 26	Away	Detroit City	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Lexington	1 - 4	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	2 - 1	Loss
May 7, 26	Away	New Mexico United	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 30, 26	Home	FC Tulsa	1 - 4	Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
15	El Paso Locomotive	12	4	4	4	23	22	+1	16
22	Monterey Bay	13	3	2	8	13	22	-9	11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.86% likelihood that both Monterey Bay and El Paso Locomotive will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

El Paso Locomotive to win

This prediction indicates that El Paso Locomotive has a 44.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.41 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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