USL Championship
Match Analysis
Monterey Bay
Loudoun United
Monterey Bay
W
L
L
L
L
D
Loudoun United
D
W
D
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loudoun United | Monterey Bay | 3 - 0 | May 18, 2024 |
| Monterey Bay | Loudoun United | 4 - 1 | June 4, 2023 |
| Loudoun United | Monterey Bay | 0 - 1 | July 30, 2022 |
Monterey Bay Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Home | Birmingham Legion | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Lexington | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Home | FC Tulsa | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Colorado Springs | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 11, 26 | Away | Indy Eleven | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 5, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Loudoun United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Home | Detroit City | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Brooklyn | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Oakland Roots | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Hartford Athletic | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 10, 26 | Home | Louisville City | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Apr 4, 26 | Home | Birmingham Legion | 2 - 2 | Draw |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Loudoun United | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 9 |
| 24 | Monterey Bay | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.6% likelihood that both Monterey Bay and Loudoun United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Loudoun United to win
This prediction indicates that Loudoun United has a 41.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.43 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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