Montpellier vs Dijon Saturday 08th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Montpellier Dijon

Montpellier L W W D L W

Dijon W W W D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Montpellier	Dijon	4 - 2	February 7, 2021
Dijon	Montpellier	2 - 2	September 27, 2020
Montpellier	Dijon	2 - 1	January 25, 2020
Dijon	Montpellier	2 - 2	December 4, 2019
Dijon	Montpellier	1 - 1	January 13, 2019
Montpellier	Dijon	1 - 2	August 11, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Home	Cannes	3 - 4	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Le Puy Foot	5 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Aubagne	3 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Away	RED Star FC 93	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Clermont Foot	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Away	Amiens	0 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Away	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Progres Niederkorn	4 - 1	Win
Jul 15, 26	Home	UNFP	5 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Le Puy Foot	1 - 1	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Orleans	3 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Le Puy Foot	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Dijon	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Montpellier	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Montpellier has a 47.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.79 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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