Montrose vs Hamilton Academical Saturday 01st August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Montrose Hamilton Academical

Montrose W W L D D L

Hamilton Academical W W D D W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Montrose	Hamilton Academical	0 - 2	April 18, 2026
Hamilton Academical	Montrose	1 - 1	February 28, 2026
Montrose	Hamilton Academical	0 - 4	October 18, 2025
Hamilton Academical	Montrose	2 - 0	August 2, 2025
Montrose	Hamilton Academical	1 - 2	April 20, 2024
Hamilton Academical	Montrose	1 - 1	January 27, 2024

Montrose Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	Dundee Utd	1 - 0	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Inverurie Loco Works	7 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	ST Johnstone	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Home	Civil Service Strollers	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Forfar Athletic	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Stenhousemuir	0 - 2	Loss

Hamilton Academical Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Peterhead	0 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Haverfordwest County AFC	0 - 4	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	Linlithgow Rose	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	2 - 2	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Clyde	4 - 3	Win
May 12, 26	Away	Clyde	1 - 1	Draw

League One Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Hamilton Academical	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Montrose	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.33% likelihood that both Montrose and Hamilton Academical will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Hamilton Academical to win

This prediction indicates that Hamilton Academical has a 53.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.79 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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