Monza vs Avellino Friday 14th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Monza Avellino

Monza L W W L W W

Avellino W W L W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Monza	Avellino	2 - 1	February 8, 2026
Avellino	Monza	2 - 1	September 12, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Home	Aris Thessalonikis	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Away	Galatasaray	0 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	PRO Vercelli	4 - 3	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Catanzaro	0 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Catanzaro	0 - 2	Win
May 19, 26	Home	Juve Stabia	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Sambenedettese	0 - 5	Win
Jul 22, 26	Home	Scafatese	3 - 1	Win
May 12, 26	Away	Catanzaro	3 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Modena	1 - 0	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Empoli	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Home	Bari	2 - 0	Win

This prediction indicates that Monza has a 57.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.22 %

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