Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town Saturday 08th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Morecambe Spennymoor Town

Morecambe W L L L D W

Spennymoor Town L D W L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Bamber Bridge	0 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Forest Green	5 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Boreham Wood	0 - 3	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Woking	5 - 1	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Home	Carlisle	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Away	Rochdale	2 - 4	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Hartlepool	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Marine	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Macclesfield	0 - 2	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Worksop Town	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Scarborough Athletic	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	South Shields	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Spennymoor Town	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Morecambe	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Spennymoor Town has a 35.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.72 %

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