Primeira Liga
Match Analysis
Moreirense
Benfica
Moreirense
L
D
L
W
D
L
Benfica
W
W
D
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | Moreirense | 4 - 1 | April 25, 2026 |
| Moreirense | Benfica | 0 - 4 | December 14, 2025 |
| Benfica | Moreirense | 3 - 2 | February 8, 2025 |
| Moreirense | Benfica | 1 - 1 | August 30, 2024 |
| Benfica | Moreirense | 3 - 0 | April 14, 2024 |
| Moreirense | Benfica | 0 - 0 | December 3, 2023 |
Moreirense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Arouca | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | SC Braga | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Felgueiras 1932 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Amarante | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | GIL Vicente | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Santa Clara | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Benfica Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Aarhus | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Casa Pia | 0 - 7 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Heart Of Midlothian | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Academico Viseu | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Heart Of Midlothian | 6 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | FC ST. Gallen | 5 - 0 | Win |
Primeira Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Benfica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 4 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Benfica to win
This prediction indicates that Benfica has a 72.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.58 %Most Likely Scorelines
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