Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification logo

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Morocco logo Morocco
Sept. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Gabon logo Gabon

Match Analysis

Morocco Gabon
Morocco L W D W W D
Gabon L L L D W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Gabon Morocco 1 - 5 November 15, 2024
Morocco Gabon 4 - 1 September 6, 2024
Gabon Morocco 2 - 2 January 18, 2022
Morocco Gabon 2 - 3 October 15, 2019
Morocco Gabon 3 - 0 October 7, 2017
Gabon Morocco 0 - 0 October 8, 2016

Morocco Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 9, 26 Away France 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away Canada 0 - 3 Win
Jun 30, 26 Away Netherlands 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 24, 26 Home Haiti 4 - 2 Win
Jun 19, 26 Away Scotland 0 - 1 Win
Jun 13, 26 Away Brazil 1 - 1 Draw

Gabon Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Dec 31, 25 Home Ivory Coast 2 - 3 Loss
Dec 28, 25 Home Mozambique 2 - 3 Loss
Dec 24, 25 Away Cameroon 1 - 0 Loss
Nov 13, 25 Away Nigeria 1 - 1 Draw
Oct 14, 25 Home Burundi 2 - 0 Win
Oct 10, 25 Away Gambia 3 - 4 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Morocco to win
This prediction indicates that Morocco has a 66.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.29 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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