Mosul vs Al-Qasim Monday 01st June 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Mosul Al-Qasim

Mosul D L D D L D

Al-Qasim L L D L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Al-Qasim	Mosul	2 - 3	January 28, 2026

Mosul Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 27, 26	Away	Newroz	1 - 1	Draw
May 20, 26	Away	Al Minaa Basra	1 - 0	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Duhok	3 - 3	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Al Talaba	2 - 2	Draw
May 6, 26	Away	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	2 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Gharraf	1 - 1	Draw

Al-Qasim Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 28, 26	Home	Al Najaf	1 - 2	Loss
May 19, 26	Home	Naft Maysan	2 - 5	Loss
May 14, 26	Away	Al Zawra'a	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Duhok	2 - 1	Loss
May 6, 26	Home	Al Minaa Basra	3 - 3	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Baghdad	2 - 2	Draw

Iraqi League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
16	Mosul	37	9	14	14	40	52	-12	41
20	Al-Qasim	37	1	6	30	23	91	-68	9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.62% likelihood that both Mosul and Al-Qasim will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Mosul to win

This prediction indicates that Mosul has a 51.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.27 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 73.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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