Motala vs Kumla Thursday 11th June 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Motala Kumla

Motala L W L D L W

Kumla D L L L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kumla	Motala	1 - 3	September 19, 2025
Motala	Kumla	1 - 2	June 12, 2025
Kumla	Motala	1 - 3	October 20, 2024
Motala	Kumla	5 - 5	June 6, 2024
Kumla	Motala	0 - 1	August 5, 2017
Motala	Kumla	1 - 0	April 22, 2017

Motala Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Herrestads	1 - 0	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Vänersborgs IF	2 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Grebbestad	2 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Stenungsund	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	IFK Skövde	0 - 4	Loss
May 1, 26	Away	Lidköping	0 - 3	Win

Kumla Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Ahlafors	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Herrestads	1 - 2	Loss
May 22, 26	Away	IFK Skövde	2 - 1	Loss
May 14, 26	Home	Skara	0 - 2	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	IF Karlstad II	1 - 1	Draw
May 1, 26	Away	Husqvarna	3 - 1	Loss

Division 2 - Norra Götaland Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Motala	11	4	2	5	15	15	0	14
9	Kumla	11	3	4	4	13	14	-1	13

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.08% likelihood that both Motala and Kumla will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Motala to win

This prediction indicates that Motala has a 51.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.16 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips

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